Trustworthy AI in Subsea Operations

Damir Herman, Ph.D. avatar
Damir Herman, Ph.D.

Image credit: Photo by Tyler Lastovich (pexels.com)

When Low-Frequency Signals Matter More Than Accuracy

In physical systems, not all signals behave equally.

Low-frequency energy propagates farther, attenuates less, and remains detectable long after high-frequency detail has disappeared. This is true in acoustics, structural dynamics, and environmental loading, as it is equally true in AI-enabled monitoring systems.

For AI deployed in safety-critical and infrastructure contexts, this observation has direct assurance implications: models optimized for fine-grained accuracy alone may miss the signals that matter most operationally.

In subsea, offshore, and maritime environments, the most consequential events are rarely crisp, well-labeled, or high-resolution. They are low-frequency, persistent deviations and changes in background behavior rather than obvious anomalies.

Assuring AI in these domains therefore requires shifting emphasis from prediction performance to signal relevance, robustness, and interpretability under uncertainty.

Assurance Starts With the Physics of the System

AI assurance cannot be meaningfully separated from the physical system it observes.

In subsea environments, low-frequency phenomena dominate:

  • long-period wave and current interactions
  • slow structural responses
  • persistent acoustic signatures
  • gradual seabed or load condition changes

These signals:

  • propagate over large spatial scales
  • are resilient to noise
  • are difficult to spoof
  • often precede higher-frequency, more obvious failure modes

From an assurance perspective, this means that models must be evaluated not only on their ability to classify events, but on their ability to preserve, detect, and reason about low-frequency structure in the data.

This aligns directly with risk-based assurance principles, where early indicators and leading signals are more valuable than precise but late detection.

Why High Accuracy Is Not the Same as High Assurance

Traditional AI evaluation emphasizes metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, or mean error. While necessary, these metrics are insufficient for high-risk systems.

In practice:

  • High-frequency noise can inflate apparent model performance
  • Short-lived patterns may dominate training data
  • Rare but critical behaviors may be underrepresented
  • Concept drift occurs slowly, not abruptly

An AI system may appear “accurate” while systematically failing to capture the low-frequency trends that indicate emerging risk.

Assurance therefore requires:

  • explicit consideration of signal bandwidth and persistence
  • robustness testing under degraded, incomplete, or slowly evolving inputs
  • validation against physically meaningful failure modes, not only labeled outcomes

This distinction is fundamental to trustworthy AI in operational environments.

Implications for AI Assurance and Compliance

Modern AI assurance frameworks emphasize justified confidence, not blind optimization.

Key implications include:

1. Risk-Oriented Feature Selection

Features should be chosen based on their physical relevance and stability over time, not solely on their statistical contribution to short-term accuracy.

Low-frequency indicators often carry higher assurance value because they are:

  • less sensitive to transient noise
  • more interpretable
  • more stable under distributional shift

2. Evidence-Based Validation

Assurance evidence must demonstrate that the model responds correctly to:

  • gradual environmental changes
  • long-term load accumulation
  • persistent deviations from baseline behavior

This goes beyond test-set performance and into structured validation against known system dynamics.

3. Transparency and Explainability

Low-frequency features are typically easier to explain, audit, and trace to physical causes.

This improves:

  • regulator confidence
  • operator trust
  • audit readiness
  • post-incident accountability

Explainability is not an afterthought. Explainability is an emergent property of how the model is designed and what signals it prioritizes.

Designing AI Systems That Are Assurable by Construction

Assurable AI systems are not retrofitted at the end of development. They are designed from the outset with assurance in mind.

This means:

  • grounding model design in system physics
  • explicitly accounting for uncertainty and incomplete information
  • prioritizing robustness over fragile optimization
  • treating monitoring, drift detection, and revalidation as first-class system components

In subsea and offshore contexts, this approach mirrors established engineering practice: conservative assumptions, clear margins, traceable reasoning, and continuous verification.

AI is no different.

From Signal to Stability

The central objective of AI assurance is not to make systems smarter—it is to make systems reliable, predictable, and governable.

Low-frequency signals play an outsized role in achieving that objective.

They provide:

  • early warning
  • resilience to noise
  • interpretability
  • alignment with physical reality

AI systems that respect this principle are easier to assure, easier to trust, and better suited for deployment in environments where failure carries real consequences.

This is not a limitation of AI, rather it is how AI becomes operationally credible.